Historic News and Insights

Equity Market Outlook - October 2026

India’s NSE NIFTY 50 Index ended the month of August 2026 in red (-1.2%). Among major global indices, the Japanese NIKKEI (+3.0%), Morgan Stanley Capital International (MSCI) World (+2.5%), the Euro 50 (+1.0%) and the S&P 500 (+2.6%) ended the month of August 2026 with positive returns. Performance was mixed among Emerging Market (EM) indices in August 2026, with the MSCI EM, Hang Seng, BOVESPA Brazil recording returns of (+3.2%), (-1.2%), and (-0.3%) respectively.

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Fixed Income Market Outlook - October 2026

High Crude, Global Central Bankers’ Pivot towards, Monetary Tightening and Spike in UST September’26 saw sharp rise in geopolitical tensions, jump in crude and commodity prices, spike in UST (with 10 yr UST at record levels), rising inflation concerns resulting in pivot of global central bankers towards monetary tightening. Back home, Monsoon ended with 13% deficit with rising concerns about super El Nino impact extending into winter season. Aug’26 Inflation print closer to 5%-mark, pivot of major central bankers towards rate hike cycle and spike in global yields has resulted in start of rate hike cycle in India in its early Oct’26 policy.

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Equity Market Outlook - September 2026

India’s NSE NIFTY 50 Index ended the month of August 2026 in red (-1.2%). Among major global indices, the Japanese NIKKEI (+3.0%), Morgan Stanley Capital International (MSCI) World (+2.5%), the Euro 50 (+1.0%) and the S&P 500 (+2.6%) ended the month of August 2026 with positive returns. Performance was mixed among Emerging Market (EM) indices in August 2026, with the MSCI EM, Hang Seng, BOVESPA Brazil recording returns of (+3.2%), (-1.2%), and (-0.3%) respectively.

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Fixed Income Market Outlook - September 2026

Aug’26 continued to witness extended geo-political pressures and elevated oil prices. While global growth continued to remain resilient, inflation is now on global central banker’s radar.

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Equity Market Outlook - August 2026

India’s NSE NIFTY 50 Index ended the month of July 2026 in green (2.2%). Among major global indices, the Japanese NIKKEI (-8.1%), Morgan Stanley Capital International (MSCI) World (0.5%), the Euro 50 (+0.5%) and the S&P 500 (-0.1%) ended the month of July 2026 with mixed returns. Performance was mixed among Emerging Market (EM) indices in July 2026, with the MSCI EM, Hang Seng, BOVESPA Brazil recording sequential returns of (-3.3%), (13.1%), and (3.5%) respectively.

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Fixed Income Market Outlook - August 2026

The on and off nature of Iran war resolution has led to higher volatility in financial, commodities and currency markets and added uncertainty to macro-economic outlook. Monsoon gap narrowed in Jul’26, with improvement seen on sowing. Jun’26 Inflation picked up, yet it was around RBI’s medium-term target. FPIs flows turned robust in July, while RBI’s FX measures (FCNR deposits) gained traction thereby improving BoP outlook.

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Equity Market Outlook - July 2026

India’s NSE NIFTY 50 Index ended the month of June 2026 in green (1.35%). Among major global indices, the Japanese NIKKEI (+5.6%), Morgan Stanley Capital International (MSCI) World (-0.8%), the Euro 50 (+4.60%) and the S&P 500 (-1.1%) ended the month of June 2026 with mixed returns. Performance fell among Emerging Market (EM) indices in June 2026, with the MSCI EM, Hang Seng, BOVESPA Brazil recording sequential returns of (-1.7%), (-9.1%), and (-1.0%) respectively.

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Fixed Income Market Outlook - July 2026

The Iran war resolution was finally reached in Jun’26 with both the parties signing MoU to end conflict and agreeing to resolve the issues within two months’ timeframe. This has resulted in sharp decline in geopolitical uncertainty. The opening of Strait Hormuz has resulted in resumption of sea route for trade. As a result, the oil prices have declined sharply easing concerns regarding stagflation globally. RBI preferred to remain on pause, while upwardly revising inflation projections and revising downward growth projections. RBI also launched slew of FX measures along with govt to boost FX flows, FPI flows in G-sec market, thereby resulting in improvement in currency outlook.

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Fixed Income Market Outlook - June 2026

The Iran war resolution continued to remain elusive, although both the parties agreed to come to compromise. Three months into war, the global central bankers (CBs) have raised concerns about upside risk to inflation, with some CBs either have already started hiking rates (Indonesia) or given forward guidance (ECB) in that direction. Crude Oil eased in May although the absolute lvl continued to remain elevated at US$100 plus.

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Equity Market Outlook - May 2026

India’s NSE NIFTY 50 index ended the month of April 2026 in green (+7.5%). Among major global indices, the Japanese NIKKEI (+16.1%), Morgan Stanley Capital International (MSCI) World (+9.4%), the Euro 50 (+5.6%) and the S&P 500 (+10.4%) ended the month of April 2026 with positive returns. Performance was positive among Emerging Market (EM) indices as well, with the MSCI EM, Hang Seng, BOVESPA Brazil recording sequential returns of (+14.5%), (+4.0%), and (-0.1%) respectively.

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Fixed Income Market Outlook - May 2026

April 2026 witnessed ceasefire announcement early on and yet was marked by peak uncertainty. Crude oil continued to trade at peak levels, raising concerns of pickup in inflation with the global central bankers preferring to remain vigilant of inflation concerns.

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Market Outlook 2026 - Road Ahead

Aggressive protectionism returned, following new U.S. tariff announcements, which caused significant market volatility and forced businesses to reroute supply chains and renegotiate trade deals.

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Market Outlook 2026 - Road Ahead - January 1970

Aggressive protectionism returned, following new U.S. tariff announcements, which caused significant market volatility and forced businesses to reroute supply chains and renegotiate trade deals.

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